Participatory scenario planning

Lead when the ground keeps shifting

The whole community rehearses its own future, so you are ready for more than one.

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Assumption Matrix

Younger families will come back if we change the schedule

Conf 40 High

The grant renews at the level we planned for

Conf 55 High

Our volunteers can carry a second site

Conf 75 Med

What a cycle leaves you

Futures you have already rehearsed

Two or three futures

Prepared together, before one of them arrives.

Everyone's judgment

Members rate the assumptions on their own. You see the spread.

Nothing resets

What you left unresolved opens the next cycle, still waiting.

Who it is for

Communities that have to decide together

Faith communities

Attendance, giving and generational change, worked through together instead of carried alone.

For faith communities

Community organizations

Decide what to stop without it becoming a judgment on the person who built it.

For community organizations

Businesses and co-ops

Stop rewriting the plan every quarter. Keep a record the next one builds on.

For businesses and co-ops

The practice

One discipline runs through all three

Set your baseline

What you exist to do and who carries the work.

Read the signals

Trends from anyone, with the point that reopens the question.

Weigh options

Rehearse possible futures, with dissent kept on the record.

Learn your way forward

Open questions carry into the next cycle.

"The most common leadership failure stems from trying to apply technical solutions to adaptive challenges."

Ronald A. Heifetz, The Practice of Adaptive Leadership

See what your community thinks

Answer a few questions and all nine steps come back drafted.

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Part of CollectiveNexus

One tool in a growing suite

SharedForesight gives your community a Product Coach role and the tools that work needs. It is one of the CollectiveNexus tools, and your people carry across to the next one.

Learn more about the full suite