Features

How a community rehearses its own future

Participatory scenario planning in nine steps, drafted by AI and argued over by the people who live with the answer.

Cycle Stepper
Riverside Community Trust
Autumn cycle · Nonprofit · 11 members
1 Vision 2 Stakeholders 3 Assumptions 4 Trends 5 Scenarios 6 Judgment 7 Decisions 8 Constraints 9 Learning
You are on step 5. Two members have not rated the scenarios yet.
First cycle

You start by editing a draft

Five fields in, and every step comes back drafted at once.

  • Stakeholders, assumptions, trends, scenarios, metrics, decisions and constraints
  • Phrased for a congregation, a housing program or a co-op
  • Nothing is saved until you accept it
First Cycle Preview
5 stakeholders with impact ratings
Drafted
3 assumptions, each with an experiment
Drafted
4 trends across PESTLE categories
Drafted
3 scenarios from 2 axes of uncertainty
Drafted
5 metrics and 4 constraints
Drafted
Nothing is saved until you accept it.
Member Ratings
"Younger families will return if we change the schedule"
2.4 average of 9 members
How the 9 rated it
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2
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5
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Widest disagreement in this cycle. Worth an hour.
Ratings

The spread, not the agreement the room performed

Members score each assumption and scenario privately, before the meeting.

  • A quiet two against a room of fours shows on screen
  • Comments, replies and upvotes on every artifact
Scenarios

Two uncertainties, three futures

Name what will shape the next year. Nobody has to predict which future arrives.

  • Trends across all six PESTLE categories, from whoever noticed them
  • A threshold on every signal that says when to reopen a decision
Scenarios and Signals
Axes of uncertainty
Whether state funding holds × How fast the neighborhood changes
 
Steady Ground
Funding holds, population stable
 
Same Money, Different People
Funding holds, demand shifts north
 
The Squeeze
Funding falls, demand rises
Tracked signal
State funding formula under review. Threshold: a published draft that changes the per-household rate.
Decision Record
Move the food program to the north site
Pivot
Demand moved north two years ago and the current site is running at half capacity.
Also considered: run both sites, partner locally, wait a year
Dissent kept: the families who rely on the current site cannot travel.
Decisions

Decisions that hold up three years from now

Persevere, adjust, pause or pivot, each with a written reason.

  • What you chose, what you considered instead, and who disagreed
  • Three dissenting perspectives before you commit
  • The note to members, board or funders, drafted afterwards
Carryover

Nothing resets when the cycle closes

An untested assumption or an unresolved trend opens the next cycle, still waiting.

  • Start the next cycle with everything, or only what you flagged
  • Each cycle links to the one before it
Carryover Queue
Autumn cycle closing Winter cycle opening
State funding formula under review
Trend
Volunteers can cover a second site
Assumption
Revisit the north site decision
Decision
All three open the next cycle, still unresolved.
Step 7: Decisions
Generate decision options
5 credits
Strategic challenge
5 credits
Pivot diagnostic
8 credits
Draft the message
5 credits
"Anything the AI should know that it cannot see?"
Balance after this run: 412 credits
AI

AI that drafts, then gets out of the way

  • Every generate button shows its cost and your balance first
  • Add a focus, a tone, or something it could not know
  • It never scores your options or tells you what to decide

Run one cycle

Start alone this week, then bring in the people who will have to live with the answer.

Part of CollectiveNexus

Built for your community's Product Coach

A Product Coach sets up the teams, drafts each step with the AI, and brings in the people who will live with the answer.

Start with SharedForesight. Add tools as your needs grow.

Connection

Help people find their way in, find support, and find each other.

Community Assessments Community Discussions Support Groups Newcomer Journeys Career Support Future Planning Community Exchange Community Elections Prayer and Care

Learning

Share what people know, study as a group, make sense of the world.

Course Creation Workshop Hosting Peer Study Groups Wisdom Sharing Collective Insight Scenario Planning Trends Analysis Shared Job Search Community Newsroom Youth Learning Paths Mentoring Programs Reading Together

Co-Creation

Turn talent, ideas and connections into projects that last.

Talent Matching Content Creation Venture Formation Event Success Growth Experiments Project Management Interview Preparation Strategic Outreach Community Resourcing Creative Practice

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